We are all much more like Jim Carrey’s character in Dumb and Dumber than we might like to admit. When told by the object of his affection that he has a 1 in 1,000,000 chance of ending up with her, he smiles with relief and says, “So you’re telling me there’s a chance.” All too often we confuse the intensity of our longing with the probability of our winning. The Behavioral Investor Daniel Crosby