Writing ยท Leasing & Conversion

2024-06-11
๐”๐ง๐๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ง๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐๐ž๐ ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐‹๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ ๐ž ๐ข๐ง ๐‘๐ž๐š๐ฅ ๐„๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž: ๐€ ๐‚๐š๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ซ๐ฒ ๐“๐š๐ฅ๐ž Think of rowing upstream in a canoe with a hole in it. That's negative leverage in real estate. You're in trouble if you buy an apartment complex at a 5.4% cap rate but borrow at 6.4%. Here's why: ๐‚๐š๐ฌ๐ก ๐…๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐’๐ช๐ฎ๐ž๐ž๐ณ๐ž: You're earning 5.4% but paying 6.4% on your loanโ€”costs exceed income from day one. ๐„๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ƒ๐ซ๐š๐ข๐ง: Your investment isnโ€™t growing; it's feeding the lender, like planting a garden on quicksand. ๐‘๐ข๐ฌ๐ค ๐€๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: Market dips or increased expenses can turn your investment into a money pit, like walking a tightrope in roller skates. So, why would a real estate investor ever buy with negative leverage? ๐ˆ๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐‘๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐„๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ: They anticipate interest rates will drop, allowing them to refinance at a lower rate in the future. ๐๐Ž๐ˆ ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก: They believe the Net Operating Income (NOI) will grow significantly, outpacing the higher borrowing costs. ๐•๐š๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ž ๐๐ฅ๐š๐ฒ: Theyโ€™re purchasing the property at a deep discount, expecting substantial appreciation or value-add opportunities. ๐“๐š๐ฑ ๐€๐๐ฏ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ ๐ž๐ฌ: They are leveraging tax benefits or incentives that mitigate the higher borrowing costs, making the overall investment attractive. ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅ ๐ƒ๐ž๐ฉ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐‘๐ž๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ซ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ: Some funds must deploy their capital within a specific timeframe or risk losing it. This pressure can lead to investments with negative leverage, especially if they believe in the property's long-term potential. ๐€๐ ๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ฒ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐›๐ฅ๐ž๐ฆ: The sponsors only get paid by doing deals. Theyโ€™re like sharksโ€”they must keep swimming to stay alive, even if itโ€™s not in the investorsโ€™ best interest. This pressure can lead to investments with negative leverage as they prioritize deal volume over deal quality. ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐œ ๐‹๐จ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: The property is in a prime location with limited availability, and the long-term appreciation potential justifies the short-term negative leverage. While there are special circumstances where buying with negative leverage might make sense, it's generally best to avoid it. Negative leverage is like buying a cow that consumes more than it produces in milkโ€”leaving you both broke and baffled. Current 10-year Rates range from 6.38% to 6.66%, and current cap rates are below the cost of debt.
Leasing & ConversionCapital / Finance / InvestingOperations / Property ManagementReal Estate (general)

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