Writing · Real Estate (general)
Austin Chose Abundance. San Francisco Chose Control. Guess Which One Won
I watched a Reason TV breakdown comparing the two cities. It’s the clearest real-world case study on housing policy you’ll see this year.
San Francisco just posted its fourth straight year of population decline.
Austin is growing at a rapid clip and somehow rents are falling.
That shouldn’t happen.
Growing demand usually pushes rents up.
Unless you build. A lot.
Austin added 13x more housing units than San Francisco last year.
Why you ask?
Because Texas removed most of the friction.
Counties can’t zone outside city limits. Developers can build hundreds of units in unincorporated areas without slogging through a two-year permit maze.
San Francisco’s average permit timeline: 627 days.
Austin’s: measured in weeks.
Austin landlords are fighting for tenants.
You see concessions, gift cards, Wi-Fi included, eight weeks free, and amenity arms races that look like resort brochures.
San Francisco landlords?
Two-thirds of the rental market is locked in rent-controlled units. Tenants never leave. Supply never circulates. And no one upgrades anything because there’s nothing to compete for.
Build more homes and prices fall.
Choke supply and you get exclusivity, stagnation, and a city wondering where its talent went.
San Francisco once had the same mix Austin has now:
founders, families, artists, wanderers, builders.
Then growth outpaced supply. Eventually the dream got too expensive for the people who created it.
Austin is trying not to repeat that mistake.
Linked the Reason TV source
https://lnkd.in/eUWFR69f