Writing ยท Capital / Finance / Investing
๐๐ญ๐ฅ๐๐ง๐ญ๐โ๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ข๐๐๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ซ๐ค๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ก๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฎ๐ฉโ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐๐ข๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฐ๐๐ซ๐ฌ, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ค ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ฆ.
With property values still down 20% from their peak, owners have resisted selling, but pressure is building. Over $500M in CMBS loans are delinquent, with another $3.9B on watchlists, and lenders are running out of patience.
Floating-rate debt, poor management, and slowing rent growth have created cracks that savvy buyers are watching closely.
New construction and rising vacancies have pushed rents down 2.8% and vacancies up 12%, but with supply tightening, investors see an opportunity. The question isnโt if distress will hitโit's when. And when it does, expect a rush to the table.
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